Fresh insights from the Bank
 
Luxembourg
16 Boulevard Royal – L-2449 Luxembourg
 
Monday to Friday
8 am to 5 pm


A New Environment?

Watch the video



Guy Wagner,
Chief Investment Officer BLI - Banque de Luxembourg Investments

An ageing population, expansive fiscal policies, excessive public debt and a changing geopolitical landscape...

Here we take a look at the structural features of the new environment we are facing and the implications for the financial markets.

Trends, Consequences, Risks and Convictions

Image 1 Image 2 Image 3 Image 4

New environment?

  • Why talk about a "new environment"?
  • Global economy: what are the facts?
  • Financial markets: what impact?
  • Investments: which approach is best?

 

Watch the video
 

In favour of equities and gold?

Could high public deficits threaten the global macroeconomic balance?

Towards structurally higher inflation?

Are equities still an attractive investment?

Could gold remain attractive, despite the levels already reached?

Find out more in our podcast

Investing or speculating?

Should we take long-term investments in quality companies or buy stocks with the aim of selling them quickly at a higher price?

Find out more in our blog article

Financial Markets Analysis

Contents (with 40 graphs and comments)


  • STATEMENT OF FACTS
  • - Demographics and an ageing population
  • - Deterioration in public finances
  • - New geopolitical landscape

  • ECONOMY
  • - Towards a more inflationary environment
  • - Pressure on company profit margins
  • FINANCIAL MARKETS
  • - Quality actions
  • - American exceptionalism?
  • - Quality actions
  • - Gold

In this edition


  • "Technological development will play a key role in the future of the global economy."
  • "American exceptionalism? The market capitalisation of the 15 largest US companies is equivalent to that of the European, Japanese and emerging markets combined."
  • "The emerging geopolitical landscape continues to favour investing in gold."

Access our recent publications

US economy starts the new year slightly weaker
(Publication date: 05 March 2025)

The long-term prospects for gold are very good
(Publication date: 04 March 2025 - Börsen-Zeitung)

Follow our Financial markets analysis

Originally from a family of entrepreneurs in Luxembourg and with a degree in Economics from the Université Libre of Brussels, Guy Wagner joined Banque de Luxembourg in 1986, where he was successively responsible for the Financial Analysis and Asset Management departments, then became Managing Director of BLI - Banque de Luxembourg Investments, an asset management company newly created in 2005. From July 2022 on, he devotes himself exclusively to his role as Chief Investment Officer, to the management of the portfolios and to the management of the team in charge management of the various funds.

LinkedIn
  • contact

Publication date March 2025.
The information contained in the presentation is provided purely for indicative purposes and is not exhaustive. It is only valid at the time it is issued and may be updated or amended without notice. Under no circumstances can this information be interpreted as legal or tax advice or a recommendation to invest. All investments are subject to risks including risks of capital losses. BLI - Banque de Luxembourg Investments ("BLI") assumes no responsibility for future performance or financial returns.
BLI cannot be held liable for the information provided or for any decisions that may be taken on the basis thereof. Potential investors are responsible for ensuring that they understand all the risks involved in their investment and other decisions, and should refrain from investing until they have carefully considered, in conjunction with their own professional advisers, the appropriateness of the services proposed for their investments and their specific financial situation, particularly with regard to the legal, tax and accounting aspects and any potential legal and regulatory constraints concerning the proposed transactions.
Subscriptions for shares in the funds managed by BLI may only be made on the basis of their latest prospectus, accompanied by the subscription form and Key Investor Information Document (KIID), the most recent annual report, as well as the latest semi-annual report, if this is subsequent to the most recent annual report.
It is illegal to reproduce, transmit, distribute or publish the presentation or the information it contains without BLI's explicit prior agreement in writing.

BLI - Banque de Luxembourg Investments
16, boulevard Royal
L-2449 Luxembourg
RCS Luxembourg B80479
TVA LU18716183